AI Italian Serie A Predictions
AI is changing the world, and the great news is that it has incredible power to create football predictions effectively and accurately. This technology is an ideal fit for football tips. At DiceLoader.com, we have been using the latest AI and machine learning technology for several years to generate accurate Italian Serie A football predictions and tips that give our members a great advantage.
We’ve created a series of successful data pipelines and AI algorithms that we use to predict all the main football betting markets for the major worldwide football leagues, and the Italian Serie A is one of our most popular.
Our DiceLoader AI predictions provide members with a percentage likelihood for each market outcome covered in every Italian Serie A fixture. These generated probabilities also give our members a realistic information source from which to make well-informed predictions. DiceLoader.com is not just a site to provide you with a set of blind tips; we provide detailed probability ratings for all outcomes, alongside a wealth of statistics used by our algorithms when determining probabilities, so that you can make an informed decision. To learn more about the tools, data and statistics in the site, used by our members to get the advantage, visit our articles here.
This article is one of a free series that we are producing going into 2024 where we will analyse the 2023 season to identify the trends our AI data and predictions have seen in each league. In this article we will look at the fixtures and markets in the Italian Serie A, comparing them against all the other major domestic leagues to find specific Serie A patterns. Each article will show you the markets and outcomes that are strong in a different league, highlighting which ones have been the best to avoid, or even lay. To access the articles focusing on other leagues, click here.
In addition to spotlighting AI successes in the 2023 leagues, we are also doing a series of articles on the general statistics of each domestic league in the 2023 season. These articles will focus on the season so far, highlighting which leagues have been the best for goals, shots, shots on target, both teams to score, over goals markets, clean sheets and many more. We are seeing some interesting trends that can help to give you a further advantage for the rest of the season. This statistical series of articles can be found here.
As with all our articles in this series, we will start the AI analysis of the 2023 Italian Serie A season by first focusing on the ever popular Match Odds market, and I have to say it is a good market to start with. The 2023 season has seen a great start for the Italian Serie A and the Match Odds market. The Italian Serie A is the league that would have generated the highest amount of profit in the Match Odds Market (when compared to the 27 leagues we cover) if you had backed every one of our AI generated Risk tips.
To explain a little about our Risk Tip categories, with each market outcome for a fixture we provide an explicit probability calculation. Across the whole site we classify our higher probability predictions with one of four tip categories: Ultra Low Risk tips, Low Risk tips, Medium Risk tips and High Risk tips. Users can quickly filter to see one, or more, tip categories, with the click of a button. Find out more about our Risk categories here.
The great news for the Italian Serie A is that backing all tips in every Risk tip category would have made you a profit in the 2023 season so far. Some of our members prefer to focus on the Ultra Low and Low Risk tips, but as can be seen from the table below all Risk categories were successful. Let’s first look at home our AI algorithms did for Home Wins.
| DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk | 18 | 14 | 78% | 1.39 | 8% |
| Low Risk | 17 | 14 | 82% | 1.56 | 28% |
| Medium Risk | 15 | 11 | 73% | 1.65 | 21% |
| High Risk | 22 | 18 | 82% | 1.81 | 48% |
As you can see our success rates are high, and high enough to ensure that each category made a profit when using the odds we saw available for each tip. There was also a healthy amount of tips made which is a reflection that our AI algorithms identified the Italian Serie A as a good league for Match Odd tips.
Now looking at the often trickier Away Wins, how did our AI algorithms perform in the Italian Serie A.
| DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk | 1 | 1 | 100% | 1.40 | 40% |
| Low Risk | 6 | 4 | 67% | 1.60 | 7% |
| Medium Risk | 3 | 2 | 67% | 1.56 | 4% |
| High Risk | 6 | 5 | 83% | 1.76 | 47% |
Again, a clean sweep of success rates across all Risk tip categories. You’ll notice that far less tips were made. It won’t surprise you that Away Wins are less common than Home Wins and our AI algorithms identify this to incorporate the correct weighting so that our tip amounts are adjusted correctly.
A fine start then from the Italian Serie A. Many of the other domestic football leagues we follow have been displaying less consistent results in the Match Odds market and with the odd higher risk tip category not being as profitable. The reliability of the Italian Match Odds market is good. Fingers crossed this continues for the rest of the season.
Let’s now move onto looking at the other markets we cover at DiceLoader.com and how the Italian Serie A fared across those in the 2023 season so far.
This article on the AI algorithm performance of each league is one of a series of articles we’re creating at the start of 2024. We will also be looking at the overall statistical trends demonstrated in the 2023 season to date, again to see how each league has compared on the main footballing statistics (goals, shots, saves, cards, shots inside the box etc.). Taking a brief look ahead at the Italian Serie A statistics so far it is not a league showing high scoring games when compared to our other supported leagues. Of the 27 domestic leagues we have been following in 2023, the Italian league has the 20th best/worst average amount of goals per game, with 2.55 goals a game on average. Comparing this to the German Bundesliga, which has the best average with 3.37 goals a game on average, you can see there is quite a difference. It has the 19th best/worst average for games Over 1.5 Goals and the 22nd best/worst average for games Over 2.5 Goals. These Italian defences are good.
Keeping these statistic in mind, let’s now look at how our AI algorithms performed across our goal based markets.
As you would expect all the Over Goal markets were not strong when compared to our other leagues. Losses would have been made if following all risk tips but thankfully all the Under Goal markets made profits. The AI algorithms again successfully identified these likely outcomes and made far less Over Goal tips in the Italian league. Our algorithms identified 31 Over 2.5 goal tips in the Italian league compared with 82 in the German Bundesliga for around about the same amount of fixtures.
Overall, our algorithms are showing to bet with caution on the Over goal markets in the Italian Serie A and pay attention to the Under goal markets.
With Both Teams to Score we saw our Al algorithms again identifying selectively what to tip in the 2023 season so far. They made no Ultra Low or Low Risk tips in this market. They did however make a profit from the remaining tips they made in Medium and High Risk tips for the Both Team to Score market.
Looking at the Half-Time Full-Time market this followed the trends of the Over goals markets. Some Risk tip categories produced results but overall a slight loss was seen if you took all tips. Again the algorithms identified a lack of strength here in the Italian Serie A and the amount of tips offered was again low.
In summary, the Italian Serie A has been really strong on all Match Odds tips. It will be worth paying attention to these tips for the rest of the 2023 season. Be cautious when looking at the Over goal markets, although our algorithms are applying a lot of the necessary caution themselves. Under goal markets, if they are to your liking, are again worth inspection to find further profits for the rest of the season.
A part of enhancing a reliable profit is finding odds, and Value, that are attractive. The tools in the DiceLoader site help our members easily find good Value as this article explains here. The Diceloader.com members area of the site has tools that make it easy to filter across all leagues, fixtures and markets for predictions that have the Value you are looking for giving our members a genuinely great advantage. Use this in your betting strategy going forward to take further advantage of the above markets and our AI generated tips.
If you’re interested in taking up this advantage, we are currently offering a free week trial for new DiceLoader members. Why not sign up here and enhance your football enjoyment with our powerful insights and data across all major domestic football leagues and fixtures.
This article is one of a series of regular free articles. We also post detailed statistics and insights across all the major football leagues. These free, sample statistics are just examples of the content that our members have greater access to within the site’s Members Area. We also provide free selected football predictions and tips each week, all of which can be accessed here. We also have a free regular newsletter that you can sign up for here. What are you waiting for?
16th January, 2024