AI is changing the world, and the great news is that it has incredible power to create football predictions effectively and accurately. This technology is an ideal fit for football tips. At DiceLoader.com, we have been using the latest AI and machine learning technology for several years to generate accurate Premier League football predictions and tips that give our members a great advantage.
We’ve created a series of successful data pipelines and AI algorithms that we use to predict all the main football betting markets for the major worldwide football leagues, and the Premier League is one of our most popular and heavily utilised.
Our DiceLoader AI predictions provide members with a percentage likelihood for each market outcome covered in every Premier League fixture. These generated probabilities also give our members a realistic information source from which to make well-informed predictions. DiceLoader.com is not just a site to provide you with a set of blind tips; we provide detailed probability ratings for all outcomes, alongside a wealth of statistics used by our algorithms when determining probabilities, so that you can make an informed decision. To learn more about the tools, data and statistics in the site, used by our members to get the advantage, visit our articles here.
This article is one of a free series that we are producing going into 2024 where we will analyse the 2023 season to identify the trends our AI data and predictions have seen in each league. In this article we will look at the fixtures and markets in the Premier League, comparing them against all the other major domestic leagues to find specific Premier League patterns. Each article will show you the markets and outcomes that are strong in a different league, highlighting which ones have been the best to avoid, or even lay. To access the articles focusing on other leagues, click here.
In addition to spotlighting AI successes in the 2023 leagues, we are also doing a series of articles on the general statistics of each domestic league in the 2023 season. These articles will focus on the season so far, highlighting which leagues have been the best for goals, shots, shots on target, both teams to score, over goals markets, clean sheets and many more. We are seeing some interesting trends that can help to give you a further advantage for the rest of the season. This statistical series of articles can be found here.
Kicking off our AI analysis in the 2023 Premier League, let’s first focus on the very popular Match Odds market. The good news is that in Premier League fixtures where are algorithms have predicted a Home Win that has an AI generated win likelihood of above 80%, we have been 100% successful this year. Note that there haven’t been a huge amount of these this season in the Premier League (when compared to other leagues), which is testament to the high level of competition across the entire league.
With each market outcome for a fixture we provide a specific probability. Across the whole site we classify our higher probability predictions with one of four tip categories: Ultra Low Risk tips, Low Risk tips, Medium Risk tips and High Risk tips. Users can quickly filter to see one, or more, tip categories, with the click of a button. Find out more about our Risk categories here.
Looking at the Ultra Low Risk tip category, we have a 71% success rate across the 21 fixtures we have identified this year in the Premier League.
This is okay……but the Premier League has not been one of our stronger leagues for the Match Odd market when compared to some of the other leagues we support (it’s our 18th best in fact). It is our third best league in England alone. We have a 100% success record for Ultra Low Risk tips in the National League, the Danish Superliga, the Swiss Super Liga and the Chinese Super League this season. We also have an over 80% success rate in eight other leagues. This market has performed okay in the Premier League but with low odds (average odds we saw for the Ultra Low Risk tips in 2023 was 1.32), so we’d be selective when using these tips in the Premier League, looking for tips with better odds and the all important Value rating (provided with all predictions) above 0. More information on our Value calculations can be found here.
An AI-supported market we have done well with for the Premier League in the 2023 season is Both Teams to Score, where we have had a 100% success record this season for Ultra Low Risk tips. We also have a rounded record of 70% for the Low Risk tip and Medium Risk tip selections. These results are from a total of 46 selected fixtures this year, so tips are being generated frequently. The Both Teams to Score market offers strong returns (with average odds of 1,605 across the 46 fixtures), so a 70% success rate would have returned you a profit of around 12% this year so far.
Another steady Premier League market has been Over 2.5 Goals. Again, the Premier League has not been in the top 5 leagues for this market when compared to our other leagues, but as you can see from the table below if you stayed with the top three Risk categories, and took all Diceloader tips, you would have made an decent profit so far in the 2023 season.
Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Tips Performance in 2023 season to date:
DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
Ultra Low Risk Tip | 17 | 13 | 76.47% | 1.49 | + 14% |
Low Risk Tip | 14 | 11 | 78.57% | 1.53 | + 20% |
Medium Risk Tip | 26 | 20 | 76.92% | 1.55 | + 19% |
High Risk Tip | 33 | 19 | 57.57% | 1.57 | – 9% |
One of the powerful aspects of DiceLoader is the wide variety of leagues we cover. If you compare the Over 2.5 Goals tips above to our tips from the French and German top leagues, you can see how the Premier League is good, but not as good as these two.
German Bundesliga Over 2.5 Goals Tips Performance in 2023 season to date:
DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
Ultra Low Risk Tip | 19 | 16 | 84.21 % | 1.42 | + 20% |
Low Risk Tip | 17 | 14 | 82.35% | 1.42 | + 17% |
Medium Risk Tip | 21 | 15 | 71.42% | 1.47 | + 5% |
High Risk Tip | 25 | 19 | 76.00% | 1.56 | + 19% |
French Ligue 1 Over 2.5 Goals Tips Performance in 2023 season to date:
DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
Ultra Low Risk Tip | 5 | 5 | 100% | 1.45 | + 45% |
Low Risk Tip | 5 | 5 | 100% | 1.44 | + 44% |
Medium Risk Tip | 7 | 5 | 71.42% | 1.61 | + 15% |
High Risk Tip | 13 | 8 | 61.54% | 1.59 | – 2% |
For our remaining markets (Over 1.5 Goals, Over and Under 3.5 Goals, Half-Time Full Time, Double Chance and Corner Odds) the Premier League trend has continued in a similar vein to the Match Odds market. These markets have fared well (if not amazingly), and have been placing around mid-table when compared to our other leagues (in terms of success rates and profit). There do appear to be more predictable leagues out there, which is probably part of the reason the Premier League is so beloved. The league seems to have plenty of occasions where the less favoured teams have got some form of result, with the stats highlighting its competitiveness.
The Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score markets have been the ones to follow so far in the 2023 season, accompanied by our AI generated tips with good Value. All of these would have been profitable strategies for 2023 and we wish you the best of luck with the rest of the season.
The Diceloader.com members area of has tools that make it easy to filter across all leagues, fixtures and markets for predictions that have the Value you are looking for giving our members a genuinely great advantage.
If you’re interested in taking up this advantage, we are currently offering a free week trial for new DiceLoader members. Why not sign up here and enhance your football enjoyment with our powerful insights and data across all major domestic football leagues and fixtures.
This article is one of a series of regular free articles. We also post detailed statistics and insights across all the major football leagues. These free, sample statistics are just examples of the content that our members have greater access to within the site’s Members Area. We also provide free selected football predictions and tips each week, all of which can be accessed here. We also have a free regular newsletter that you can sign up for here. What are you waiting for?
8th January, 2024