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Free Midweek AI Football Predictions

For week commencing the 16th December 2024, we have a selection of free midweek artificial intelligence generated football predictions and tips across all the major football leagues. Our algorithms have been churning through a huge amount of statistics to bring you a few selections from the DiceLoader.com site for free.

This article will identify a handful of our AI generated tips from the midweek fixtures available this week. We’ll identify tips from the games running from Monday until Friday. This article highlights just three of our recommended midweek markets whereas the main members area of the site has many many more. If you are interested in a larger set of AI tips you can take advantage of the current free one week trial and see AI predictions for all games in the 27 leagues we follow at DiceLoader.com, including many leagues that run through the European summer.

At DiceLoader Club we assign the algorithms’ best predictions with one of four risk categories; Ultra Low Risk Tips, Low Risk Tips, Medium Risk Tips and High Risk Tips. If the AI-generated predictions are not high enough to be worth a tip they do not get graded. This rating is one of the reasons why the Members Area allows users to find our best tips quickly and easily.

The chart below is available to our members within the site. It shows you the amount of Risk tips we have over the coming days. There are many more predictions available for review within the site, but this chart highlights the number of AI generated predictions warranting a risk tip last week.

Within the site our members can filter the data further to see our risk tips by a specific return amount. As an example, you can filter to see Low risk tips which have Medium or better returns. The chart below shows how many of our risk tips (either Ultra Low, Low, Medium or High) for this week also have a return rating assigned to them.

Like risk tips, return ratings are only applied to the better odds, so a lot of predictions are not given a return rating. If you pop into the site you will see how easy it is to filter for selected risks with selected returns with just a couple of clicks.

This article will identify several risk tips that have decent returns for our non-members. We will continue to post a selection of free midweek tips each week, identified by our algorithms. We will focus on predictions that have a risk rated tip with odds strong enough to warrant a return rating as well. As with all tips in the site, we’ll calculate the Value of each tip, highlighting whether the odds are in your favour or the bookmakers! For more information on how we use Value with all our tips click here.

Now for this week’s free tips:

Firstly – FC Porto v Estrela – Over 2.5 Goals

Portuguese, Primeira Liga
Monday, 16th December, 20:15 pm

Our algorithms have given this a Low Risk tip which is our second lowest risk tip category and therefore we have two further groups of tips that our algorithms consider as a lower risk than this category. Our algorithms have given this a 63.5% likelihood. The returns are okay for this tip as our bookmakers data has this available at 1.5, which we classify as a Modest Return rating. Combining our AI probability with the odds available this generates an Expected Value of -0.2 which is a price in favour of the bookmaker in this instance. Our regular readers will know anything above zero is in our favour and not the bookmakers, and tracking bets above zero can form an interesting longer term Value betting strategy. To read more about how we you can use Value with our AI prediction calculations as part of a betting strategy, visit here.

Quick reasons to support the prediction:

  • For our free articles we look at goal scoring pedigree of the teams first as this has a very high correlation with the market outcome. Porto are good goal scorers. They are the second highest scorers in the league with 31 goals scored this season.
  • Defensively, Estrela are not strong either. They have the joint 4th worst defensive record having conceded 22 goals from their 13 games.
  • Porto will be pushing for the win to keep up with top placed Sporting, so at home and with such fire power, expect goals.

A reason for caution:

  • Porto do not concede many, so we are reliant on one team scoring all the goals in this one.

…

Secondly – Girona v Valladolid – Home Win

Spanish, La Liga
Friday, 20th December, 20:00 pm

We’re moving to the Spanish La Liga for our second fixture. Our algorithms have given this a Low Risk tip. Our algorithms give this a 61.1% likelihood. The returns are once again steady, with odds being available at 1.5. Combining our AI probability with the odds available this generates an Expected Value of -0.8, which is slightly in favour of the bookmaker once again.

Quick reasons to support the prediction:

  • Valladolid have been awful away from home this season so far. They are averaging scoring 0.75 goals per away game whilst conceding an average of 2.75.
  • Girona look the stronger overall. They are the 7th best goal scorers in the league (with 23) whereas Valladolid have only scored 12 all season.
  • Valladolid are in the bottom 2 for all the key shot, goals and defensive stats.

A reason for caution:

  • Valladolid did steal a win in their last game. With only 1 shot on target, they managed a home win over Valencia.

…

Thirdly – Verona v AC MilaN – Home Win

Italian, Serie A
Friday, 20th December, 19:45 pm

Our algorithms have given this tip a Medium Risk tip for the Both Teams to Score market with our algorithms giving this a 56.5% likelihood. The price or odds for this market from our bookmakers are available at 1.7, which we classify as a Medium rating of Returns. Combining the percentage likelihood with the odds available the Value for this tip is coming in at -0.6 so again a price that is in the favour of the bookmaker.

Quick reasons to support the prediction:

  • Here we have two okay scoring teams (both in the top ten for the league). AC Milan are slightly stronger, which favours the both team to score bet as home advantage is a thing.
  • Here we have two teams that concede a lot of goals. Verona in particular leak goals for fun. They’ve conceded 39 goals this season, which is the worst in league by 10 goals more than the next team.
  • Verona won a hard fought 2-3 away win in their last game, so come into this fixture with goals form.

A reason to be cautious:

  • This is only a Medium risk tip. Visit the site to see all the Low and Ultra Low Risk tip available for the week.

…

We’ll leave the midweek predictions there for this week. Doing the above as a treble will give you odds of around 3.8 (dependent on provider). Thankfully, we will have plenty of free midweek predictions for you next week and the fixture list is looking optimistic, so watch this space!

This is a regular weekly post where we will share selected free artificial intelligence generated football predictions. Visit here every week to find free updated predictions across the top football leagues and football markets, with supporting and questioning statistics.

If you want access to the same data on all fixtures and markets in the coming weeks, why not join us at the DiceLoader club? Take advantage of the current offer of the first week free (with the option to cancel at anytime) by signing up here.

16th December, 2024