French Ligue 1 AI Predictions
AI is changing the world, and the great news is that it has incredible power to create football predictions effectively and accurately. This technology is an ideal fit for football tips. At DiceLoader.com, we have been using the latest AI and machine learning technology for several years to generate accurate French Ligue 1 football predictions and tips that give our members a great advantage.
We’ve created a series of successful data pipelines and AI algorithms that we use to predict all the main football betting markets for the major worldwide football leagues, and the French Ligue 1 is one of our popular leagues. We actually also cover the French Ligue 2 and the performance of our AI algorithms in that league will be posted separately.
Our DiceLoader AI predictions provide members with a percentage likelihood for each market outcome covered in every French Ligue 1 fixture. These generated probabilities also give our members a realistic information source from which to make well-informed predictions. DiceLoader.com is not just a site to provide you with a set of blind tips; we provide detailed probability ratings for all outcomes alongside a wealth of statistics used by our algorithms when determining probabilities so that you can make an informed decision. To learn more about the tools, data and statistics in the site, used by our members to get the advantage, visit our articles here.
This article is one of a free series that we are producing going into 2024 where we will analyse the 2023 season so far to identify the trends our AI data and predictions have seen in each league. In this article we will look at the fixtures and markets in the French Ligue 1, comparing them against all the other major domestic leagues to find specific Ligue 1 patterns. Each article will show you the markets and outcomes that are strong in a different league and also highlighting which ones have been the best to avoid, or even lay. To access the articles focusing on other leagues, click here.
In addition to spotlighting AI successes in the 2023 leagues, we are also doing a series of articles on the general statistics of each domestic league in the 2023 season. These articles will focus on the season so far, highlighting which leagues have been the best for goals, shots, shots on target, both teams to score, over goals markets, clean sheets and many more. We are seeing some interesting trends that can help to give you a further advantage for the rest of the season. This statistical series of articles can be found here.
As with all our articles in this series, we will start the AI analysis of the 2023 French Ligue 1 season by first focusing on the ever popular Match Odds market. The 2023 season has seen a good start for the French league and the Match Odds market. In particular our Home Wins had a good deal of success. If you had backed every one of the Risk Tips we made on Home Wins you would have made a healthy profit. When identifying tips for Away Wins, the algorithms were about even, so we are expecting this to improve further for the rest of the season.
To explain a little about our Risk Tip categories, with each market outcome for a fixture we provide an explicit probability calculation. Across the whole site we classify our higher probability predictions with one of four tip categories: Ultra Low Risk tips, Low Risk tips, Medium Risk tips and High Risk tips. You can still see and search across all other AI predictions, we just categorise the top four ratings so you can very quickly locate these. Users can quickly filter to see one, or more, tip categories, with the click of a button. Find out more about our Risk categories here.
Looking in the detail of the Home Win Risk Tips identified in the 2023 season so far for the French League, the breakdown of tips and their success rates can be seen below;
| DiceLoader Risk Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk Tips | 11 | 9 | 81% | 1.41 | 15% |
| Low Risk Tips | 10 | 6 | 60% | 1.57 | -6% |
| Medium Risk Tips | 6 | 4 | 67% | 1.67 | 11% |
| Higher Risk Tips | 12 | 9 | 75% | 1.76 | 32% |
As you can see you would have made a profit across three of the four categories if you placed all tips. Overall, you would have made a very healthy profit if you backed all tips. The odds mentioned above were the odds available for the tips, and these come from the bookmakers data that is captured and displayed alongside each tip in the site. This bookmaker data also allows us to identify predictions that have good Value, which is explained further below.
So a good start for the French Ligue 1 in the 2023 season so far. Let’s now look at how it fared in the other markets our AI algorithms cover.
The French Ligue 1 has had a really strong year so far for the Half-Time / Full-Time market so far this season. Big profits were seen on both the Home / Home outcome and the Away / Away outcome. The algorithms on the site have been trained to only select predictions that meet a high enough level of confidence to be warranted a Risk tip, so if the conditions are not favourable enough, no categorised Risk tips are offered (but all other predictions are still displayed). The algorithms have favoured (not surprisingly) the Home / Home result with 20 Risk tips offered to just 3 on the Away / Away outcome. The results of the 20 selections this year on Home / Home are shown below:
| DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk | 1 | 1 | 100% | 1.7 | 73% |
| Low Risk | 5 | 2 | 40% | 2.0 | -20% |
| Medium Risk | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2.3 | 31% |
| High Risk | 7 | 4 | 57% | 2.3 | 31% |
One of the advantages of the Half-Time / Full-Time market is the larger odds on offer. This also tends to be a market where we identify good Value (explained further below). Our calculated Probabilities (which are shown with every prediction on the site) reflect the erratic nature of this market. As an example, the Ultra Low Risk tip in this market only has to have a probability that is over 54%, which is far lower than a Match Odd Ultra Low Risk tip which needs to exceed a 65% probability of outcome. We therefore do expect a lower rate of success overall (in regard to percentage of correct tips), but thankfully, the greater odds on offer compensate for this to result in a decent profit over the longer term.
Other markets which have performed well in the French Ligue 1 this season so far are the Over Goal markets, and in particular the Over 2.5 Goals. 30 tips were identified by the AI algorithms so far this season and the results of those tips is shown below:
| DiceLoader Tip Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk | 5 | 5 | 100% | 1.46 | 46% |
| Low Risk | 5 | 5 | 100% | 1.44 | 44% |
| Medium Risk | 7 | 5 | 71% | 1.61 | 15% |
| Higher Risk | 13 | 8 | 62% | 1.59 | -2% |
These results show a strong performance for the algorithms in this market. The French Ligue 1 has not been one of the higher goal scoring leagues when compared to the other 26 leagues we track. In regard to average goals per game, the French Ligue 1 has an average of 2.49 goals per game. This ranks the league with the 23rd lowest average across the 27 leagues we provide predictions for (with the German Bundesliga having the highest average with 3.37 goals per game on average). The DiceLoader algorithms are identifying that there is a consistency of outcome in the French Ligue 1 which has made the Over 2.5 Goals market so successful so far. We will post another free article which will provide more details about the statistics of each league in the 2023 season so far.
A further strong market we have seen is the Under 3.5 Goal market. The French Ligue 1 would have made a profit across all Risk Tip categories if all bets had been placed in the 2023 season so far. Again these does seem to be a good consistency of outcome on higher probability predictions in the French Ligue 1, especially when goal scoring amounts are concerned. The results of the DiceLoader AI generated risk tips in this market so far this season are as follows:
| Type | 2023 Tips | Correct | Success Rate | Avg Odds | Profit |
| Ultra Low Risk | 1 | 1 | 100% | 1.44 | 44% |
| Low Risk | 7 | 6 | 86% | 1.32 | 13% |
| Medium Risk | 20 | 17 | 85% | 1.34 | 14% |
| Higher Risk | 33 | 26 | 79% | 1.33 | 5% |
Markets that have not fared as well as these, and not as well as the other leagues we cover, are the Both Teams to Score market and the Over 1.5 Goals market. For the Both Teams to Score market you would have made a profit if following all the Ultra Low and Low Risk tips, but a small loss with the Medium and Higher Risk tips. For the Over 1.5 Goals market the success rates were pretty good, but with such low odds on offer all Risk tip categories struggled to make any significant profits.
Overall the performance of the French Ligue 1 has been strong. We’ve had solid and consistent profits across most markets, and there does seem to be a good consistency of outcomes on our Risk selected tips. You could deduce that the French Ligue 1 is a little more predictable than our other leagues, especially with match outcomes and predicting a larger amount of goals per game. Like all leagues we cover, it has it’s strengths and also a few markets where our algorithms choose to favour other leagues for those particular markets.
This article on the AI algorithm performance of each league is one of a series of articles we’re creating at the start of 2024. We will also be looking at the overall statistical trends demonstrated in the 2023 season to date, again to see how each league has compared on the main footballing statistics (goals, shots, saves, cards, shots inside the box etc.).
A part of enhancing a reliable profit is finding odds, and Value, that are attractive. The tools in the DiceLoader site help our members easily find good Value as this article explains here. The Diceloader.com members area of the site has tools that make it easy to filter across all leagues, fixtures and markets for predictions that have the Value you are looking for which gives our members a genuinely great advantage.
If you’re interested in taking up this advantage, we are currently offering a free week trial for new DiceLoader members. Why not sign up here and enhance your football enjoyment with our powerful insights and data across all major domestic football leagues and fixtures.
This article is one of a series of regular free articles. We also post detailed statistics and insights across all the major football leagues. These free, sample statistics are just examples of the content that our members have greater access to within the site’s Members Area. We also provide free selected football predictions and tips each week, all of which can be accessed here. We also have a free regular newsletter that you can sign up for here. What are you waiting for?
29th January, 2024